Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga3 - 0Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Braga 1-3 Benfica
Off the back of their shock cup exit, Benfica will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction by closing out the year with a win. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
15.54% ( 0.91) | 21.42% ( 0.81) | 63.04% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -1.67) | 48.1% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -1.55) | 70.26% ( 1.55) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.42% ( 0.24) | 43.58% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.22% ( 0.2) | 79.78% ( -0.2) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( -1.06) | 14.64% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.23% ( -2.08) | 42.77% ( 2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 15.54%
Benfica 63.02%
Draw 21.42%
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.54% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.42% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.02% |
How you voted: Braga vs Benfica
Braga
12.9%Draw
14.5%Benfica
72.6%62
Form Guide
