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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Benfica

Braga
3 - 0
Benfica

Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')
Horta (78'), Jorge (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Luis (27'), Silva (85'), Otamendi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Braga 1-3 Benfica

 Off the back of their shock cup exit, Benfica will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction by closing out the year with a win. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
15.54% (0.906 0.91) 21.42% (0.812 0.81) 63.04% (-1.717 -1.72)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-1.666 -1.67)48.1% (1.669 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-1.548 -1.55)70.26% (1.549 1.55)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.42% (0.242 0.24)43.58% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (0.198 0.2)79.78% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-1.06 -1.06)14.64% (1.06 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (-2.076 -2.08)42.77% (2.077 2.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 15.54%
    Benfica 63.02%
    Draw 21.42%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.3% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 4.23% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.17% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.54%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.378 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.37 0.37)
0-2 @ 11.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.54% (-0.351 -0.35)
1-3 @ 6.27% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-4 @ 3.62% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
12.9%
Draw
14.5%
Benfica
72.6%
62
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Braga
0-2
Benfica

Fransergio (27')
Fransergio (39')
Silva (45+2'), Seferovic (56')
Otamendi (16'), Goncalves (45+1'), Pizzi (65'), Weigl (70')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
2-1
Benfica
Ruiz (28'), Tormena (59')
Castro (20'), Sequeira (34'), Esgaio (66'), Fransergio (90+4')
Pizzi (45' pen.)
Todibo (38'), Weigl (52'), Jardel (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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