Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.