Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela2 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Nacional |
| 38.88% | 29.35% | 31.77% |
| Both teams to score 43.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.67% | 63.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.3% | 82.7% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% | 36.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Tondela 38.87%
Nacional 31.77%
Draw 29.34%
| Tondela | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.77% |
How you voted: Tondela vs Nacional
Tondela
88.9%Draw
5.6%Nacional
5.6%18
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2018 3.30pm
Apr 22, 2017 4pm
Form Guide
