Guimaraes

2 - 1

Gil Vicente

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.