Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente5 - 0Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
We said: Gil Vicente 0-0 Portimonense
Given that both Gil Vicente and Portimonense narrowly avoided relegation last term, we expect the two sides to play out a tense and cagey stalemate on the opening weekend of the new campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
45.23% ( -0.07) | 26.85% ( 0.03) | 27.91% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
