Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
51.92% ( 0.1) | 26.24% ( 0.04) | 21.84% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.95% ( -0.28) | 58.05% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.27% ( -0.23) | 78.73% ( 0.22) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( -0.08) | 22.48% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.97% ( -0.11) | 56.03% ( 0.11) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.94% ( -0.31) | 42.06% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.51% ( -0.27) | 78.49% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.92% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |