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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira


Silva (40'), Safira (45+1')
FT

de Brito Gonzaga (6'), Pires (45+1'), Delgado (49'), Marafona (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

With nine games to go before the end of the 2022-23 Primeira Liga campaign, Pacos de Ferreira have little time to salvage their season. While Vitoria de Guimaraes have run out of steam in recent weeks, they have been solid on home turf, where they have won three of their last four matches. With that said, we anticipate a close contest at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques, with the hosts claiming a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
51.92% (0.102 0.1) 26.24% (0.044 0.04) 21.84% (-0.149 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.91% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (-0.285 -0.28)58.05% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-0.225 -0.23)78.73% (0.221 0.22)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)22.48% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (-0.111 -0.11)56.03% (0.108 0.11)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (-0.315 -0.31)42.06% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (-0.275 -0.27)78.49% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.92%
    Pacos de Ferreira 21.84%
    Draw 26.24%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.11% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.84%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Pacos de Ferreira

Vitoria de Guimaraes
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 15, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
4-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (6' pen.), Duarte (45', 67'), Lameiras (86' pen.)

Antunes (33'), Carlos (38'), Butzke (46'), Ferreira (68')
Carlos (64')
Dec 4, 2021 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-2
Guimaraes
Denilson (34')
de Brito Gonzaga (40'), Pedro (88')
Estupinan (70'), Duarte (90')
Ferreira (4'), Duarte (40'), Borevkovic (88'), Varela (90+4')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Oct 2, 2020 9.15pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Andre (83' pen.)
Suliman (75'), Silvio (79'), Duarte (88'), Varela (90+2')

Marcelo (68'), Baixinho (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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