Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
55.18% ( 0.19) | 25.31% ( -0.19) | 19.52% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 44.37% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.86% ( 0.65) | 57.14% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% ( 0.52) | 78% ( -0.52) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% ( 0.34) | 20.73% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( 0.53) | 53.36% ( -0.53) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.97% ( 0.38) | 44.03% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.86% ( 0.31) | 80.14% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.36% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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