Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes0 - 2Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Arouca
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Vitoria have won five in six, which is expected to become six in seven, with their impressive sequence of wins facing an Arouca side that struggles on their travels, claiming just two wins on the road all season. Without a triumph on their travels since November 5, their five-game away run without a win should extend to six. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
49.47% ( -0.14) | 26.2% ( 0.02) | 24.33% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
