Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
36.25% ( 0.03) | 26.94% ( -0.01) | 36.81% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.87% ( 0.05) | 54.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.45% ( 0.04) | 75.55% ( -0.04) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( 0.04) | 28.68% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( 0.05) | 64.5% ( -0.05) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% ( 0.02) | 64.08% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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