Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
44.09% ( -0.55) | 26.34% ( 0) | 29.57% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 51.15% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.76% ( 0.23) | 53.24% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.2% ( 0.2) | 74.8% ( -0.2) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( -0.16) | 24.02% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( -0.23) | 58.27% ( 0.23) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( 0.53) | 32.68% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( 0.59) | 69.23% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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