Famalicao1 - 0Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, March 3 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
for
We said: Famalicao 2-1 Casa Pia
Considering Casa Pia's recent struggles away from home, Famalicao are slight favourites on Monday as they have put together a fine run of results at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao in recent weeks. We predict a cagey affair in this one with the Vila Nova returning to winning ways. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.16% ( 0.48) | 24.51% ( -0.17) | 19.34% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( 0.26) | 54.48% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( 0.22) | 75.84% ( -0.21) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( 0.29) | 19.31% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.94% ( 0.47) | 51.06% ( -0.46) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.19) | 42.68% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.98% ( -0.16) | 79.02% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34% |
