Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.66% (![]() | 26.96% (![]() | 43.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% (![]() | 55.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% (![]() | 76.76% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% (![]() | 33.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% (![]() | 70.52% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% (![]() | 60.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |