Al Ahli

1 - 4

Al Gharafa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.