Al Gharafa

2 - 0

Al Markhiya

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.