MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 04:25:52| >> :60:489:489:
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Alloa Athletic

Rangers U21s
4 - 1
Alloa

McCausland (5'), Curtis (86'), Graham (88'), Lyall (90+3' pen.)
Lovelace (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodden (44')
McKay (58'), Sammon (63'), Ogayi (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Rangers Under-21s and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-2 Rangers U21s
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Last Game: Annan 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers Under-21s win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.76%) and 1-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Rangers Under-21sDrawAlloa Athletic
46.75% (1.517 1.52) 21.64% (-0.175 -0.17) 31.61% (-1.341 -1.34)
Both teams to score 68.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.39% (0.27000000000001 0.27)30.61% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.08% (0.32 0.32)51.92% (-0.319 -0.32)
Rangers Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (0.614 0.61)13.83% (-0.615 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8% (1.202 1.2)41.2% (-1.2 -1.2)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.562 -0.56)20.13% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61% (-0.911 -0.91)52.39% (0.911 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Rangers Under-21s 46.75%
    Alloa Athletic 31.61%
    Draw 21.64%
Rangers Under-21sDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.192 0.19)
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 4.62% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.156 0.16)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.127 0.13)
4-3 @ 1.22% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.085 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 7% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.61%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Alloa
2-3
Rangers U21s
Niang (8'), Trouten (40')
Armstrong (29')
Alegria (30', 34', 62')
rhs 2.0
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