Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
23.23% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( -0.13) | 51.71% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.8% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.54% ( 0.51) | 52.46% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% ( 0.44) | 74.13% ( -0.44) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.47% ( 0.29) | 37.53% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.69% ( 0.29) | 74.31% ( -0.28) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% ( 0.26) | 20.28% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% ( 0.4) | 52.64% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |