Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.