Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.