Akron

0 - 5

Zenit

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 21.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.