Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.