Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.