Krylia Sovetov

4 - 2

Rostov

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.