Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.