Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Raith Rovers in this match.