Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Raith Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
52.92% ( 0.61) | 23.38% ( -0.23) | 23.7% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.93% ( 0.65) | 45.06% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.59% ( 0.62) | 67.41% ( -0.62) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% ( 0.46) | 17% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.87% ( 0.81) | 47.12% ( -0.82) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.98% ( 0.02) | 33.02% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% ( 0.03) | 69.61% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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