Morton

3 - 1

Ayr

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.