Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.