Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.