Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.