Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.