Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
53.69% ( 0.18) | 23.55% ( -0.06) | 22.76% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% ( 0.13) | 46.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% ( 0.12) | 69.04% ( -0.12) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% ( 0.12) | 17.35% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.27% ( 0.2) | 47.74% ( -0.2) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% ( -0.04) | 34.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( -0.04) | 71.54% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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