Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.