Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.