Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.