Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Livingston |
31.8% ( -0.32) | 26.18% ( 0.2) | 42.01% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( -0.92) | 51.75% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( -0.8) | 73.52% ( 0.8) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( -0.67) | 30.34% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% ( -0.81) | 66.53% ( 0.81) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( -0.34) | 24.39% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% ( -0.49) | 58.8% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |