Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr4 - 1Elgin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-0 Ayr
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
36
We say: Ayr United 3-0 Elgin City
We believe that Ayr will simply be too strong for their opposition at home and will comfortably coast to a 3-0 victory. Ayr's attacking threat will likely be too much to handle for a lower-league side who have recently struggled to keep the opposition from their own level from scoring, leading them to once again suffer defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.81%).
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Elgin City |
58.19% ( 0.19) | 22.56% ( -0.01) | 19.25% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.1% ( -0.2) | 46.9% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( -0.18) | 69.15% ( 0.19) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( -0.01) | 15.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% ( -0.01) | 44.98% ( 0.01) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% ( -0.3) | 38.38% ( 0.3) |