MX23RW : Monday, June 3 11:55:18| >> :60:11:11:
Ayr United
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Elgin City

Ayr
4 - 1
Elgin

Bryden (90'), Dempsey (94' pen.), Akinyemi (103', 106')
FT
(aet)
Hester (41')
Mailer (83'), Draper (93'), McHardy (113')
Ayr win 0-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Ayr United and Elgin City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-0 Ayr
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

We say: Ayr United 3-0 Elgin City

 We believe that Ayr will simply be too strong for their opposition at home and will comfortably coast to a 3-0 victory. Ayr's attacking threat will likely be too much to handle for a lower-league side who have recently struggled to keep the opposition from their own level from scoring, leading them to once again suffer defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.81%).

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
58.19% (0.185 0.19) 22.56% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.25% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1% (-0.198 -0.2)46.9% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-0.185 -0.18)69.15% (0.185 0.19)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)44.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (-0.3 -0.3)38.38% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-0.289 -0.29)75.14% (0.29100000000001 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 58.19%
    Elgin City 19.25%
    Draw 22.55%
Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.25%

How you voted: Ayr vs Elgin

Ayr United
83.3%
Elgin City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 3pm
Ayr
3-0
Elgin
 Ayr win 4-3 on penalties

Murdoch (78')

Dolzanski (10'), Dingwall (69')
rhs 2.0
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