MX23RW : Monday, November 4 17:59:23| >> :60:50:50:
Hamilton logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Hearts logo

Hamilton
0 - 2
Hearts


Tumilty (13'), Martin (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Humphrys (29'), Devlin (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Hamilton Academical and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 QotS (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hamilton Academical 1-3 Hearts

With Hamilton having impressed in the previous round and producing some of their best form of the season, they will fancy their chances of causing the upset. Nevertheless, Hearts should have too much quality in their ranks and should ride any storm to eventually post a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawHearts
34.8% (0.415 0.41) 24.73% (-0.107 -0.11) 40.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.47000000000001 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.57100000000001 0.57)44.66% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.549 0.55)67.02% (-0.55 -0.55)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.50700000000001 0.51)25.03% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.70200000000001 0.7)59.7% (-0.701 -0.7)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.096999999999994 0.1)22.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.146 0.15)55.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 34.8%
    Hearts 40.47%
    Draw 24.73%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawHearts
2-1 @ 8% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Hamilton vs Hearts

Hamilton Academical
11.1%
Draw
8.3%
Hearts
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Hearts
2-2
Hamilton
Walker (48'), Halkett (87')
Walker (77'), Smith (83')
Ogboe (5', 16')
Collar (73')
Hamilton (21')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Hamilton
2-1
Hearts
Miller (64'), Collar (72')
McGowan (77'), Miller (79'), Easton (92')
Bozanic (82')
MacLean (21'), Smith (58'), Halkett (71'), Whelan (96')
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Hearts
2-2
Hamilton
Clare (20'), Berra (58')
Berra (26')
Oakley (50', 73')
MacKinnon (80'), Collar (80')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Hamilton
Naismith (18'), Djoum (44')
Godinho (30'), Garuccio (66')

Want (56')
Want (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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