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Hamilton logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Hearts logo

Hamilton
0 - 2
Hearts


Tumilty (13'), Martin (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Humphrys (29'), Devlin (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Hamilton Academical and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 QotS (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hamilton Academical 1-3 Hearts

 With Hamilton having impressed in the previous round and producing some of their best form of the season, they will fancy their chances of causing the upset. Nevertheless, Hearts should have too much quality in their ranks and should ride any storm to eventually post a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawHearts
34.8% (0.415 0.41) 24.73% (-0.107 -0.11) 40.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.47000000000001 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.57100000000001 0.57)44.66% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.549 0.55)67.02% (-0.55 -0.55)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.50700000000001 0.51)25.03% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.70200000000001 0.7)59.7% (-0.701 -0.7)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.096999999999994 0.1)22.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.146 0.15)55.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 34.8%
    Hearts 40.47%
    Draw 24.73%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawHearts
2-1 @ 8% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Hamilton vs Hearts

Hamilton Academical
11.1%
Draw
8.3%
Hearts
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Hearts
2-2
Hamilton
Walker (48'), Halkett (87')
Walker (77'), Smith (83')
Ogboe (5', 16')
Collar (73')
Hamilton (21')
> Match Report
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Hamilton
2-1
Hearts
Miller (64'), Collar (72')
McGowan (77'), Miller (79'), Easton (92')
Bozanic (82')
MacLean (21'), Smith (58'), Halkett (71'), Whelan (96')
> Match Report
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Hearts
2-2
Hamilton
Clare (20'), Berra (58')
Berra (26')
Oakley (50', 73')
MacKinnon (80'), Collar (80')
> Match Report
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Hamilton
1-0
Hearts
McGowan (36')
> Match Report
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Hamilton
Naismith (18'), Djoum (44')
Godinho (30'), Garuccio (66')

Want (56')
Want (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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