We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren
In a match with consequences at the top end of the Scottish Premiership table, we expect a closely fought encounter that will produce plenty of opportunities for both sides.
On this occasion, Hearts will do enough to prevail and claim another precious three points in their hunt for third place.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.