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Scottish Challenge Cup | Semi-Finals
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Queen of the South

Hamilton
2 - 1
QotS

Zanatta (21'), One (96')
Tiehi (34'), Shiels (50'), McGowan (108')
FT
(aet)
Irving (72')
Murray (39'), Irving (106')
Hamilton win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Hamilton Academical and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 1-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: QotS 1-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawQueen of the South
53.15% (-2.867 -2.87) 22.71% (0.524 0.52) 24.14% (2.342 2.34)
Both teams to score 58.39% (1.265 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (0.264 0.26)41.6% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (0.267 0.27)64% (-0.27 -0.27)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.867 -0.87)15.67% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29% (-1.628 -1.63)44.71% (1.626 1.63)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (2.187 2.19)30.76% (-2.189 -2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (2.502 2.5)67.02% (-2.504 -2.5)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 53.15%
    Queen of the South 24.14%
    Draw 22.71%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawQueen of the South
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.621 -0.62)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.552 -0.55)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.269 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.466 0.47)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.343 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.314 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
1-0
QotS
Winter (65')
Easton (73')

Liddle (11'), Cameron (45+2')
Liddle (40')
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
QotS
0-3
Hamilton

Gibson (20'), McGrory (72')
Gibson (21')
Mullin (20', 77'), Hamilton (70')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Hamilton
1-0
QotS
Ryan (76')
Smith (24'), Mimnaugh (79')

Liddle (86')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
QotS
1-2
Hamilton
Paton (54')
Debayo (37')
Ryan (46'), Smith (74')
Mimnaugh (39'), Easton (63'), McMann (79'), Spence (90+2')
Jul 22, 2017 3pm
G
Hamilton
1-1
QotS
Hamilton win 6-5 on penalties
Boyd (88')
Dobbie (89')
Jacobs (76')
rhs 2.0
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