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St Mirren logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 12am UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
vs.
Hearts

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fifth Round clash between St Mirren and Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: QotS 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Next Game: Aberdeen vs. St Mirren
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-4 Hearts
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Next Game: Hearts vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 27.9% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
27.9%25.08%47.02%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04%48.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95%71.05%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29%31.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88%68.12%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15%20.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46%53.54%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 27.9%
    Hearts 47.02%
    Draw 25.07%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.59%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 8.12%
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.02%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
4-0
St Mirren
Vargas (15'), Oyegoke (47'), Wilson (86'), Spittal (90+3')

Dunne (23'), Olusanya (53'), Kiltie (84'), Bwomono (90+5'), Adeniran (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-1
Hearts
Taylor (8' og.), Olusanya (34')
Olusanya (13'), Brown (40'), Boyd-Munce (65')
Halkett (18')
Kingsley (33'), Grant (44'), Shankland (85'), Baningime (85')
> Preview
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Scott (7'), Bolton (65')
Tagawa (20'), Shankland (73')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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