Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
38.07% ( 0.21) | 25.89% ( -0.01) | 36.03% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( 0.03) | 49.7% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( 0.03) | 71.71% ( -0.03) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.13) | 25.53% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% ( 0.18) | 60.39% ( -0.18) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0.1) | 26.68% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( -0.14) | 61.93% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |