Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Dundee United |
39% ( 0.01) | 26.39% ( 0) | 34.61% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( -0) | 51.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( -0) | 73.71% ( 0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( 0) | 26.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( 0) | 61.12% |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -0) | 28.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% ( -0.01) | 64.44% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |