Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
57.83% ( 0.23) | 22.41% ( -0.09) | 19.75% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.19% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% ( 0.21) | 45.57% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% ( 0.2) | 67.9% ( -0.2) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.52% ( 0.15) | 15.48% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.65% ( 0.28) | 44.35% ( -0.28) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -0.02) | 37.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.14% ( -0.02) | 73.86% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.83% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |