Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.