Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
22.83% ( -0.13) | 24.45% ( 0.2) | 52.71% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.15% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.55% ( -0.93) | 50.44% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.62% ( -0.84) | 72.37% ( 0.83) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( -0.64) | 36.77% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( -0.65) | 73.56% ( 0.65) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% ( -0.38) | 19.1% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% ( -0.64) | 50.71% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.83% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |