Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
55.66% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.01) | 21.72% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.06% ( 0.01) | 43.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.67% ( 0.01) | 66.33% ( -0.01) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( 0.01) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.34% ( 0.02) | 44.66% ( -0.02) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.81% ( -0.02) | 34.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( -0.02) | 70.89% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |