Alloa

5 - 1

QotS

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.