Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.