Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
30.99% ( 0.03) | 27.03% ( 0) | 41.98% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.64% ( -0.01) | 55.36% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.43% ( -0.01) | 76.57% ( 0) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.24% ( 0.02) | 32.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( 0.02) | 69.31% ( -0.03) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( -0.03) | 26.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.93% ( -0.03) | 61.07% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |