Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.