Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
42.68% ( 0.2) | 22.63% ( -0.04) | 34.69% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 66.28% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.58% ( 0.17) | 34.42% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.66% ( 0.19) | 56.34% ( -0.2) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( 0.15) | 16.79% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% ( 0.27) | 46.75% ( -0.27) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( -0) | 20.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% ( -0) | 52.73% |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |