Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
22.74% ( -0.13) | 21.37% ( -0.32) | 55.89% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 61.38% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.13% ( 1.4) | 36.86% ( -1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.96% ( 1.51) | 59.04% ( -1.51) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% ( 0.67) | 29.31% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( 0.82) | 65.29% ( -0.81) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.83% ( 0.61) | 13.17% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.14% ( 1.22) | 39.86% ( -1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.87% Total : 55.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |